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The seeding is done and the bracket is getting put together as you read this. I wanted to go through my seeds.
The 10 conference champions are seeded first, the top 8 host a game at their campus. The criteria for seeding the champs was:
-Conference Record
---Undefeated champs go first
-----one loss champs go next
further seeding criteria was (not in any order)
-overall record
-strength of schedule
---Opponent Total Ranking (OTR)
-----OTR is figured by adding together the final Massey composite ranking of all opponents
on a team's schedule. FCS teams are counted as their FCS rank +130
+scored golf style, lower the better
-Rank of average win
---Figured by dividing the OTR for all victories by # of victories
-Best win
+eye test of highest ranked victory
-avg loss
+the average ranking of all opponents not defeated
-worst loss
+rank of lowest unbeaten opponent
-Win Multiplier
+Total FBS victories of all beaten opponents.
++WM wasn't done when the seeding was more apparent.
So, now that you see all that, the seeds. Please note that for the bracket, things such as regional geography are taken into consideration, so the bracket may not come out to be 1 vs 16, 2 vs 15, etc, exactly. I do my best to keep things even but fair.
So there's the field. The other teams that I considered:
TCU (10-3 (7-3 BigXII)) SOS: 8, OTR: 854 (highest of the power 5 teams), Avg Win: 81 (also highest of P5), Best Win: #17 Ok State, Avg Loss: 14 (OU 2x, #32 ISU**) worst loss: #32 ISU, WM: 42
Washington (10-2 (7-2 Pac-12)) SOS: 24, OTR: 775, Avg Win: 72, best win: #23 Wazzou, avg loss: 27 (Stanford, #39 Arizona St**), WM: 44
Stanford (9-4 (7-3 Pac-12)) SOS: 11, OTR: 558 (2nd lowest), Avg Win: 56, best win: #10 ND, avg loss: 20 (USC (2x), #33 SDSU**, Wazzou), WM: 48
I just couldn't justify putting a 4-loss team in the bracket despite the h2h over ND
Memphis (10-2 (7-2 AAC)) SOS: 60, OTR: 927, Avg Win: 90, Best Win: #51 UCLA, losses: #9 UCF (2x)
When I saw that Memphis wasn't gonna make it, I didn't bother with Fresno St (#69 SOS) or SDSU (#70).
**that teams lowest rated unbeaten opponent.
The 10 conference champions are seeded first, the top 8 host a game at their campus. The criteria for seeding the champs was:
-Conference Record
---Undefeated champs go first
-----one loss champs go next
further seeding criteria was (not in any order)
-overall record
-strength of schedule
---Opponent Total Ranking (OTR)
-----OTR is figured by adding together the final Massey composite ranking of all opponents
on a team's schedule. FCS teams are counted as their FCS rank +130
+scored golf style, lower the better
-Rank of average win
---Figured by dividing the OTR for all victories by # of victories
-Best win
+eye test of highest ranked victory
-avg loss
+the average ranking of all opponents not defeated
-worst loss
+rank of lowest unbeaten opponent
-Win Multiplier
+Total FBS victories of all beaten opponents.
++WM wasn't done when the seeding was more apparent.
So, now that you see all that, the seeds. Please note that for the bracket, things such as regional geography are taken into consideration, so the bracket may not come out to be 1 vs 16, 2 vs 15, etc, exactly. I do my best to keep things even but fair.
- UCF (American Athletic Conference)
- #1 Seed
- undefeated in conference play (9-0)
- undefeated regular season (12-0)
- SOS: 66
- OTR: 890
- Avg Win: 75
- Best victory: #19 Memphis (2x)
- no losses
- Win multiplier: 57
- #1 Seed
- Florida Atlantic (Conference USA)
- #2 Seed
- undefeated in conference play (9-0)
- 10-3 regular season
- SOS: 94
- OTR: 1054
- Avg Win: 105
- Best Win: #64 North Texas (2x)
- Avg Loss: 49 (Navy, Wisconsin, Buffalo)
- Worst Loss: #88 Buffalo
- #2 Seed
- Oklahoma (BigXII Conference)
- #3 Seed
- 9-1 in conference play
- 12-1 regular season record
- SOS: 3
- OTR: 710
- Avg Win: 56
- Best Win: #4 Ohio St
- loss: #32 Iowa St
- Win Multiplier: 64
- head to head over Ohio State
- #3 Seed
- Clemson (Atlantic Coast Conference)
- #4 Seed (a change from my earlier post)
- 9-1 in conference play
- 12-1 regular season record
- SOS: 4
- OTR: 652
- Avg Win: 48
- Best Win: #9 Auburn
- loss: #72 Syracuse
- WM: 70 (most)
- #4 Seed (a change from my earlier post)
- Georgia (Southeastern Conference)
- #5 Seed
- 8-1 Conference Record
- 12-1 regular season record
- SOS: 7
- OTR: 703
- Avg Win: 57
- Best Win: #9 Auburn
- loss: #9 Auburn
- WM: 67
- #5 Seed
- Ohio State (BigTen Conference)
- #6 Seed
- 9-1 conference record
- 11-2 regular season record
- SOS: 2
- OTR: 664
- Avg Win: 57
- Best Win: #6 Wisconsin
- Avg Loss: 14 (OU, Iowa)
- Worst loss: #25 Iowa
- WM: 67
- #6 Seed
- Southern Cal (Pac-12 Conference)
- #7 Seed
- 9-1 Conference Record
- 11-2 regular season
- SOS: 12
- OTR: 643 (2nd lowest)
- Avg Win: 55
- Best Win: #15 Stanford
- Avg Loss: 17 (Notre Dame, Washington St)
- Worst Loss: #24 Washington St
- #7 Seed
- Boise State (Mountain West Conference)
- #8 Seed
- 8-1 Conference Record
- 10-3 Regular Season
- SOS: 67
- OTR: 907
- Avg Win: 78
- Best Win: #33 SDSU (also beat Troy head to head)
- Avg Loss: 42 (Washington St, Virginia, Fresno St)
- Worst Loss: #63 Virginia
- #8 Seed
- Toledo (Mid-American Conference)
- #9 Seed
- 8-1 Conference Record
- 11-2 regular season
- SOS: 79
- OTR: 1147
- Avg Win: 97
- Best Win: #60 Northern Illinois
- Avg Loss: 36 (Miami (FL), Ohio)
- Worst Loss: #60 Ohio
- #9 Seed
- Troy (Sun Belt Conference)
- #10 Seed
- 7-1 Conference Record
- 10-2 Regular season
- SOS: 100
- OTR: 1242
- Avg Win: 110
- Best Win: #20 LSU
- Avg Loss: 72 (Boise St, South Alabama)
- Worst Loss: #116 South Alabama
- #10 Seed
- At Large: Wisconsin
- #11 Seed
- 9-1 conference record
- 12-1 regular season
- SOS: 17
- OTR: 737
- Avg Win: 61
- Best Win: #18 Northwestern
- loss: #4 Ohio St
- WM: 66
- #11 Seed
- At Large: Auburn
- #12 Seed
- 7-2 Conference Record
- 10-3 regular season
- SOS: 1
- OTR: 695
- Avg Win: 67
- Best Win: #2 Georgia
- Avg Loss: 7 (Clemson, LSU, Georgia)
- Worst Loss: #20 LSU
- WM: 54
- head to head over Alabama
- #12 Seed
- At Large: Penn St
- #13 Seed
- 7-2 conference record
- 10-2 regular season
- SOS: 5
- OTR: 659
- Avg Win: 63
- Best Win: #18 Northwestern
- Avg Loss: 11 (Ohio St, Michigan St)
- Worst Loss: #19 Michigan St
- WM: 55
- #13 Seed
- At Large: Alabama
- #14 Seed
- 7-1 conference record
- 11-1 regular season
- SOS: 6
- OTR: 746
- Avg Win: 67
- Best Win: #20 LSU
- loss: #9 Auburn
- WM: 55
- #14 Seed
- At Large: Miami
- #15 Seed
- 7-2 conference record
- 10-2 regular season
- SOS: 14
- OTR: 661
- Avg Win: 59
- Best Win: #10 Notre Dame
- Avg Loss: 32 (Pitt, Clemson)
- Worst Loss: #64 Pittsburgh
- WM: 51
- #15 Seed
- It hurts to type this, but At Large: Notre Dame
- #16 seed
- 9-3 regular season
- SOS: 9
- OTR: 458*
- Avg Win: 47*
- Best Win: #12 USC
- Avg Loss: 10 (Georgia, Miami, Stanford)
- Worst Loss: #15 Stanford
- WM: 57 (with Navy having one more game)
- #16 seed
So there's the field. The other teams that I considered:
TCU (10-3 (7-3 BigXII)) SOS: 8, OTR: 854 (highest of the power 5 teams), Avg Win: 81 (also highest of P5), Best Win: #17 Ok State, Avg Loss: 14 (OU 2x, #32 ISU**) worst loss: #32 ISU, WM: 42
Washington (10-2 (7-2 Pac-12)) SOS: 24, OTR: 775, Avg Win: 72, best win: #23 Wazzou, avg loss: 27 (Stanford, #39 Arizona St**), WM: 44
Stanford (9-4 (7-3 Pac-12)) SOS: 11, OTR: 558 (2nd lowest), Avg Win: 56, best win: #10 ND, avg loss: 20 (USC (2x), #33 SDSU**, Wazzou), WM: 48
I just couldn't justify putting a 4-loss team in the bracket despite the h2h over ND
Memphis (10-2 (7-2 AAC)) SOS: 60, OTR: 927, Avg Win: 90, Best Win: #51 UCLA, losses: #9 UCF (2x)
When I saw that Memphis wasn't gonna make it, I didn't bother with Fresno St (#69 SOS) or SDSU (#70).
**that teams lowest rated unbeaten opponent.
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