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I think we need to look back at the history of NFL Champions. Let's take the losses each team had over the last 20 years, starting in 1999.
3,4,5,4,2,2,5,4,6,4,3,6,3,4,4,2,3,5. That's 82 losses. An average of 4.1 losses per year. That means that 12-4 should be enough to get you to that championship game.
To me, this means that even a great team will fall about 25% of the time. Most of those losses would be on the road. That's a given in the NFL. Even great QBs don't have their consistently best games on the road. They do it at home. The trick is to win enough games, and be on an up-tick, when the season is winding down. The 2015 Panthers had only lost one game, and lost to the Broncos who had lost 4. In 2007, The Giants lost 6 games, and beat the Patriots in the Super Bowl, and they were 16-0 during the season, and had two playoff wins.
As far as talent, spread between the AFC and NFC, there's no evidence that the AFC is more talented than the NFC. If anything, the NFC is dominating. The NFC is +7 against the AFC, not behind in the head-to-head competition. What we're seeing is that there are a few teams in the AFC that have proven to be ahead of their peers, and it makes them look superior to the NFC. In fact, the NFC is busy kicking the snot out of each other, showing there may be more of a spread of talent, not a lack of same.
I've always believed that the last 5 to 6 games of the season prove who you are as a team. At this point, the Packers have proven that they just may have the weapons to contend for a championship. How they do in these last six games, of which 4 are on the road. San Francisco, on the road coming back off bye. Then a road game against the Giants, home games against the Redskins, and the dreaded Bears (Anything can happen, even at Lambeau, with the Bears). Then we hit the road to both Minnesota and Detroit. Splitting those two could easily happen. The key word is "road." That 9ers game is also a "road" game.
In the NFL, the name of the game is to win. It doesn't matter by how much. A "W" is a "W," and the only ones that matter are those that you put up at the end of season on a march to a Lombardi Trophy.
3,4,5,4,2,2,5,4,6,4,3,6,3,4,4,2,3,5. That's 82 losses. An average of 4.1 losses per year. That means that 12-4 should be enough to get you to that championship game.
To me, this means that even a great team will fall about 25% of the time. Most of those losses would be on the road. That's a given in the NFL. Even great QBs don't have their consistently best games on the road. They do it at home. The trick is to win enough games, and be on an up-tick, when the season is winding down. The 2015 Panthers had only lost one game, and lost to the Broncos who had lost 4. In 2007, The Giants lost 6 games, and beat the Patriots in the Super Bowl, and they were 16-0 during the season, and had two playoff wins.
As far as talent, spread between the AFC and NFC, there's no evidence that the AFC is more talented than the NFC. If anything, the NFC is dominating. The NFC is +7 against the AFC, not behind in the head-to-head competition. What we're seeing is that there are a few teams in the AFC that have proven to be ahead of their peers, and it makes them look superior to the NFC. In fact, the NFC is busy kicking the snot out of each other, showing there may be more of a spread of talent, not a lack of same.
I've always believed that the last 5 to 6 games of the season prove who you are as a team. At this point, the Packers have proven that they just may have the weapons to contend for a championship. How they do in these last six games, of which 4 are on the road. San Francisco, on the road coming back off bye. Then a road game against the Giants, home games against the Redskins, and the dreaded Bears (Anything can happen, even at Lambeau, with the Bears). Then we hit the road to both Minnesota and Detroit. Splitting those two could easily happen. The key word is "road." That 9ers game is also a "road" game.
In the NFL, the name of the game is to win. It doesn't matter by how much. A "W" is a "W," and the only ones that matter are those that you put up at the end of season on a march to a Lombardi Trophy.
