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If Mertz is out for a while Badgers won't have a chance to get to 8 wins 6 wins might be high side.I don't know anymore. Not so sure 8-4 is realistic. That now seems hopeful. A single remaining loss against only Iowa? I don't know. I see Iowa as a likely loss and most of the rest as toss-ups with how bad this offense looks. To me 7 wins looks like the high side and 5 wins on the low side.
Unless they figure some things out and improve mightily on offense they will keep putting the defense in bad spots and allow teams to hang around where a couple of plays make the difference.
Notre Dame didn't look good against Purdue but then rolls the Badgers. Ditto for Michigan vs Rutgers. With the way those games went down, I'm not so sure Purdue and Rutgers aren't toss-ups given that both are on the road.
I'm really not confident enough to say point blank that the Badgers will absolutely win any single one of their remaining games. I just think they'll win at least 4-5 of them somehow.