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It's not the same situation. At the time of those offers, Leonhard must have considered himself the heir apparent to the Badgers HC job. That obviously didn't happen, when they actually decided to make a change.For the record he also turned down 2 or 3 other P5 DC jobs with higher profile names for the same reasons
That's why I think there's a relatively strong chance he leaves. He may well feel like they let him down. But, to leave amicably, and be in their sites as the next guy up for the job, might work well for him.
But, it's all conjecture. It's hard to determine exactly what his and his family's thoughts are.