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Never used the words or implied select few. The words GPB is most will get paid and there is no evidence of that. And even to the word substantial is a reach. And some of the promises being made by agents (I use the word agent loosely) is a nice story and I know for a fact it’s more oblivion than realitySo, you're saying only a select few are going to get the money? I'm afraid you've missed something here.
Big Joe Johnson, an offensive left tackle who decides to go to Timbuktu U to play ball, and gets $250 a month to pay for pizza is going to go out there and block his arse off for Johnny Football, the QB, who is getting $1,000,000 a year to smile for the camera?
If you think that's going to fly with Joe, you're sadly mistaken. You're going to see more spread, across the board, to insure you get the right people on the field, and doing their job.
That doesn't mean 90-100 guys are going to get a huge chunk, but it will probably mean that somewhere in the 30 player range the figure will be substantial, and tiered below that as you tentatively work through the depth chart. Even that could change, year to year, and guys not getting enough will be entering the portal to go where they get what they consider "a fair share."
This whole thing isn't being done in a vacuum. It's being done on a broad scale, in a world where greed, avarice, and self gratification is going to destroy a lot of programs if they get too far out of line on money per player. In fact, an imbalance in payments to these kids could destroy a top program.
You are right on one thing. There will be schools that got all the NIL support they could dream about, and others who won't see enough being offered to players, to get them a Subway sandwich, twice a week. It's going to be worse than the difference between Mahomes contract and a guy on the practice squad's paycheck.
Probably your top 22 will get cash, how much is subjective. Skill players will get more even LT as Day implied. And sure there are slim outliners handing out cash same way there has been for 25 years or more.
The disparity in NIL pay / collectives whatever you want to call it won’t change the landscape of power in any conference anytime soon. Hell So Cal does not even have a collective but their recruiting has not skipped a beat. I’ll say in again in due respect, what I hear and you hear about NIL is not in alignment. And that’s fine.